“Through the vistas of time a voice
still cries to every potential Peter, ‘Put up your sword!’ The shores of
history are white with the bleached bones of nations and communities that
failed to follow this command.”
– Martin Luther King Jr., from ‘Nonviolence
and Racial Justice’
Last
week I found myself perusing ‘The Oregonian’ – a very dangerous task, indeed –
when I came across an editorial piece written by Doyle McManus entitled “U.S.
risks losing influence by not sending weapons”. In a nutshell, McManus suggests
that the United States should firmly place itself behind the Syrian political
opposition to Bashar Assad by supplying them with armaments and logistical aid.
This, he smugly asserts, will ensure continued American “influence” in the
region, something that we are expected to assume is good for the United States
and the Middle East more generally.
While
I was not at all surprised by the content of his self-assured and bombast-laden
article, it grieved me deeply. The civil war in Syria is horrible – of this,
there is no doubt. However, to suggest that the United States should, or even
has the right to intervene with implements of violence, is not only
irresponsible, but morally reprehensible.
But
such remarks are only indicative of a much larger problem. The geopolitical schemes,
wars, and interventions advocated by instant experts and armchair intellectuals
who “work” in plush Washington think-tanks have more often than not (if not
always) resulted in disastrous unintended consequences rather than any appreciable gains to either the United
States or the countries who had the misfortune of being their life-sized
playgrounds. To say it plain, the realpolitik that McManus and those like him
advocate is not realistic at all but, in fact, quite the opposite.
More
specifically, while reading McManus’ article I could not help but think about
the United States’ Operation Cyclone, in which the CIA provided weapons as well
as financial and logistical support to Afghan fighters during the U.S.S.R.’s
invasion of Afghanistan in the 1980s. Many interventionists continue to wax
lyrical about the dividends that America supposedly reaped from this “cheap”
and “efficient” operation.
That
Cyclone continues to be lauded as the
model of ingenuity and efficient foreign policy is staggeringly short-sighted,
however. The Soviets left Afghanistan – that much is true. However, a serious
student of the Soviet-Afghan War would know that Brezhnev had decided to leave
Afghanistan years before the U.S. chose to intervene. By the time the American
support was in full-swing Gorbachev was already in office and the illusions
that the Soviet leaders had once entertained about stabilizing Afghanistan for
communist-rule had already been torn to shreds along the winding roads of the
Salang Pass and narrow corridors of the Panjshir Valley.
In
short, American aid was gratuitous, merely serving to escalate an already
gruesome conflict. CIA director William Casey would be the first to admit (and
often did) that U.S. arms aid was chiefly meant to give the Soviets their “Vietnam,”
punishing them for their support of the Viet Minh during America’s own short-sighted
military adventure. And, of course, while neoconservatives and interventionists
of all flavors claim that Cyclone had no human cost this neglects to take into
consideration the 100,000s of Afghans who died during the conflict, as well as
the several million who became refugees as a direct result of hostilities.
Unfortunately,
the human “factor” is all too easily forgotten when one is planning these
schemes from a well-furnished office several 1000 miles away.
‘So
Operation Cyclone was not exactly all that it is cracked up to be, but at least
it did not hurt our interests.’
And
again, you would be wrong. Countless religious extremists and partisans whom
the United States once called “freedom fighters” are now the selfsame people it
designates “terrorists,” including a guy by the name of Osama Bin Ladin. Maybe
you have heard of him? It is one of the great ironies of history that the very
people the United States patronized in the 1980s in Afghanistan are now those whom
the government anathematizes and has since engaged in several multi-trillion
dollar wars to combat. So much for being “cheap” and “efficient”.
But
let us get back to the issue at hand: Syria.
If
the U.S. should not engage in cloak-and-dagger machinations or political
jockeying in the region, what should it do? In reality, the best move that the
U.S. can do is to stay out of the region and work through international
channels such as the United Nations (that is what they are there for, after
all) to promote a diplomatic solution to this otherwise insoluble conflict.
There
are several salient reasons why the U.S. must
stay out if it is to be a constructive force for both peace within Syria and
America’s own security. Preeminent amongst these reasons is the fact that, at
present, the U.S. has a soiled reputation in not only Syria but the entire
Middle East because of its abortive wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Affording
Israel carte blanche to continue its ethnic cleansing policies in the Occupied
Territories has not helped endear Middle Easterners to America either –
especially when the weapons used to bludgeon Palestinians are conspicuously
denoted as having been “made in the U.S.A.”.
Furthermore,
Syrians are quite cognizant (unlike most Americans) that the U.S. was perfectly
happy to collaborate with Bashar Assad during the initial invasion of Iraq and
in outsourcing the torture of suspected terrorists to Syria’s mukhabarat
(intelligence services) after the inauguration of the so-called “Global War on
Terror”.
In
sum, any attempt of the U.S. government to “assist” Syrians would be skeptically
viewed – and justifiably so – by the average Syrian, especially when you have
some genius like McManus writing that “It's
not about them; it's about us — and the amount of influence we'll have in Syria
once the insurgents win.”
‘Okay,’
you say, ‘so the U.S. should not intervene with arms, but what makes you think
that diplomacy will work? Let’s be realistic.’
Yes,
diplomacy would be difficult – as any
solution to this intrinsically difficult situation would be. If the solutions
were easy, we would not be having this discussion. However, it is far more utopian
to believe that supplying weapons would help ameliorate this crisis. More often
than not (if not always) war and coercive force are employed quite literally as
a blunt force means to address a problem precisely because a workable solution
has not been found or perceived. And as every toddler learns, you cannot fit a
square peg into a triangle shaped hole.
One
thing is certain, however. If a diplomatic strategy is ruled out then Assad
will feel that his back has been placed against the wall; then the problem will
truly become intractable. If he believes that there is no way out then he will logically
infer that he has nothing to lose in amplifying the violence to even more
dizzying heights. In fact, this will seem to him to be the only way out. Prolific social commentator Noam Chomsky has
convincingly argued that it was precisely this sort of truculent posturing by
Western powers that precluded a speedy resolution of violence during the Kosovo
Crisis of the late 1990s – and actually emboldened Milosevic to increase ethnic cleansing operations in
Kosovo.
Furthermore,
as McManus himself notes, there are Islamist groups that are active in opposing
Assad whose interests and tastes clearly do not mesh with the stated objectives
of the U.S. government no matter how you attempt to portray them. And even if
those whom the U.S. backs do ascend to power, there is no guarantee that they
will continue to view American benevolence favorably once in office. In order
to underline this point one need only think of Iraq’s current strong relationships
with Hezbollah and Iran, the clandestine connections that many top Afghan
officials continue to cultivate with the Taliban, or Israel’s disturbing
war-posturing against Iran.
To
conclude, instruments of violence cannot solve what is essentially a political
problem. ( If you needs proof of this then just look at Syria’s civil war – seriously.)
While war enthusiasts like McManus note that “nobody expects diplomatic appeals
to work at this point,” one would at least expect that they would consider
trying it first to see if it works or not. However unsatisfactory to the
adolescent impulses of armchair strategists, it is simply the case that diplomacy
is the brightest option right now. In light of America’s recent – and continuing
– disastrous forays in the region, the expectation that using implements of
violence will secure peace requires a truly Panglossian naiveté.
And
though U.S. policymakers have shown themselves to be less than effusive about
this option they should at least not work to impede it. Quite frankly, the U.S.
has wreaked enough havoc in the Middle East in these past decades – a fact that
the Syrians themselves know all too well. It should stay out, and conspicuously
so.
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